Sunday, November 03, 2024

Trump's "I can fix it" ad - weird to the end


Probably the most fascist political ad I have ever seen.  I can see why he approved that message.

Dobbs probably cost him the election, although people started souring on him in 2018. In 2020, never-Trump Republicans left President blank and voted down ballot. Some also voted Republican or stayed home in 2022. The antics of electing a Speaker and the resulting crap show, with 60% of the caucus voting with Trump's faction leading to the never Trumpers likely voting down ballot for Democrats this time. The GOP died when they did not vote for Boehner on the first ballot. The writing has been on the wall since then.

There are other reasons besides Dobbs to vote against Trump. Let's list them.

Border crossings are now down, largely due to Biden doing by executive order what the bipartisan compromise would have put into law - but Trump had the GOP walk away from. Immigration is  largely out of White House control and has more to do with Trump not giving aid to the region after hurricanes, as well as the long standing policy of sending convicts back to their home countries - where they destabilized them. The problems at the border and the responses are ground level/bottom up, not top down. The failures are bipartisan and the response is mostly driven by the permanent government at Homeland Security.

Biden is not responsible for sending migrants to New York and other sanctuary cities. That was DeSantis and Abbott, who put people on busses rather than working with the Federal Government to house migrant families in a coordinated manner. BLAME THE GOP for this. The campaign did not bring this up - probably because Dobbs and Trump's emotional dysfunction were lower hanging fruit.

Inflation for the masses came because prices chase the median dollar of income, which is at more than $160,000 per year. If you make less, inflation is hurting. The reason that number is so high is the Trump 2018 tax cuts, not the money given to families during the pandemic. These payments let workers stay away long enough to get better wages and jobs - but plenty did not and are now suffering.  

The rising Dow is a function of the Exchange Traded Funds holding junk assets being bid up before the tax cuts expire at the end of next year.  Because Democrats want to have their cake and eat it too - these arguments were not made. The economy will not crash - and may be crashing even as I write this - but it won't be apparent until next year. The response must be to raise taxes on the wealthy ASAP, not use the slow-down as a reason not keep the Trump cuts in place. Taking money from the Savings Sector is the only way to fix the current economy. Keep Larry Summers away from the White House and we should be OK. Again, the problem is that it is easier to go after the low hanging fruit. Also, most Democratic economists are probably in the dark about what is really happening - which is not a good thing.

The Biden plan was to repeal the Trump cuts in 2021-2022, but Manchin and Sinema sabotaged the bill - so this is truly a Trump economy. It would be worse without the stimulus payments.  Workers are still mostly hurting - but the asset inflation goosing the markets came from Trump, Manchin and Sinema, not Biden. 

Trump did not cause the COVID deaths. Masking did not stop the disease, nor would it have. COVID round one was from people sneezing on their friends and family, thinking it was allergies. The WHO and CDC did not notice. The deaths were on them, not Trump, although a White House staff which focused on more than Trump's image may have caught the error. The Manchin-Pelosi bailout kept the world going, not Trump. He does get credit for supporting vaccine research - by staying out of the way of the NIH. He bumbled his way into success on this. Also, Manchin is a major landlord. The stimulus, with supporting Federal Reserve action, helped him the most.

Blaming Trump for the pandemic is not really true. It is also low hanging fruit, however.

If the GOP establishment had not been taken over by MAGA and Coney-Barrett been appointed to the Court - thus preventing Dobbs - Trump would not have been the nominee and Dobbs would not have been an issue. Haley would likely have been the nominee and the result would be very different next week, although Vice President Harris is an excellent candidate and deserves the upcoming win. Still, if Trump had been trying to destroy the Republican Party from within, he could not have done a better job. 

Lastly, the Ad should not have run in DC Metro. There are no Trump votes in Northern Virginia, suburban Maryland, DC or Delaware. If it is a national ad buy, it will hurt Trump more than help him. Weird to the end.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home