Monday, May 12, 2025

The United Kingdom, After America || Peter Zeihan


Given the new trade (framework) with the U.S., for me this is 20-20 hindsight.

There is only one way the US and Canada can mix their fortunes. First, the US needs to regionalize, with a VP and House and Senate caucus for each region (with each region getting 3 votes - one from each of these - as a new electoral college). Regions would have same number of EVs and could bloc vote by either compact or amendment - although the latter is needed to let caucuses cast votes rather than it being winner take all. This would end the ability for someone like Trump to be elected.

Crossing the northern border could be done in two ways. Provinces could request statehood OR we could rejoin a newly drafted commonwealth - one that has Canada, Australia, the US, UK and Ireland as members - with a Windsor monarch but the kind of regions outlined above. The Ireland, Wales and Scotland would form a region, England would be another, Australia (maybe with NZ) another and 7 from North America. They would select a head of government as above with an Electoral College of 30, with 16 required to elect. If worse comes to worse, the Crown could break ties.

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