Monday, June 29, 2020

June Medical

This is not the first time Chief Roberts 5th vote preserved precedent or law. Remember his vote in the Affordable Care Act repeal case (which you can count on again). Turns out he told the truth in his confirmation hearing. His time on at D.C. Circuit shows his philosophy - of having a bias toward law over policy preferences. 

Biden and Alito joined Kennedy (and not Scalia) in supporting Roe as settled law in Gonzalez v. Carhart. Scalia wanted to use the case, as intended, to end Roe. Alito may have gone squishy in the interim, but Gorsuch should go with what Kennedy would have done.

The Fifth Circuit got spanked. This is bad news for the State of Alabama. Stick a fork in the pro-life movement - it has a lot of explaining to do with its donors and supporters (just as the HRC is running out of agenda because of its win in Bostock).

The pro-life movement, if it wants to "save the babies, needs to double down on supporting (and expanding) the Child Tax Credit (which was enacted by Gerald Ford). Kamala Harris had the best plan on doing this. It is time for the movement to decide whether it is about the unborn or about controlling women's bodies. If you listen to many of its supporters, the latter is obvious.

It is almost time for Biden to have a talk with the Bishops about their affiliation with the GOP on abortion - although he may want to wait until December to have this conversation. They could be a strong ally in getting more money to families through the tax code.

If Trump loses this week on Vance, DB and Mazars, or if the decision is not announced (which means that the Court is respecting Grand Jury secrecy), the GOP either has to cut Trump or die. The Catholic Bishops will suck up to Biden if Trump loses big. December could be very interesting in Biden plays it right.

Will the pro-birth movement jump off the S.S. Trump and work to get Pence the nomination?

Biden needs to start hitting Pence now on both abortion (by endorsing the expansion of the Child Tax Credit proposed by Senator Harris) and about leaving Trump in office when the 25th Amendment was an obvious solution in 2017.

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