Trump Jan 6 timeline

Jack Smith filed the evidence of Trump's crimes "in camera" which means that he will not use his filings to sway voters.

We don't need the details. We saw everything we need ON THAT DAY. Here is the narrative that proves that Trump was the Insurrectionist-in-Chief.

The tweet said to come to DC, this was right after Team Crazy (aka team Moscow) was shouted down by the White House Counsel. Team Russia was Trump, Giuliani, Mike Flynn and Byrne (who WH Counsel did not know - but he was GRU spy Maria Bettina's lover).  When their plot to overtly stop the election failed, they started plan B with the tweet.

Here is the day of proof:

Trump gave a speech showing that he knew the plot, saying that some Republicans were with him, the Democrats were useless and other Republicans were weak and needed a push. The plan was for Trump to put them together and give the push. Those who knew he was coming were in on the plot - because that is not an official act. 

The Secret Service foiled Trump's direct involvement with the future prisoners. He was pissed. Ketchup flew!

The Senate tip of the spear followed an officer right to SWAT and were arrested. The House tip was at the Speaker's lobby. They could see the members flee and knew where they were going, as they had been briefed by a member of staff. SWAT was on the way, so the police officers who were protecting the doors withdrew and the glass on one of the doors was breached. Ashli Babbitt went through, was shot in the neck, and SWAT arrived and put her crew face down on the ground. I wonder whether the exhibits involved their statements.  Regardless, this was all on TV. Trump saw it and at that moment, he told Meadows that he would help wind the effort down.

The Oath Keeper stack was timed to get to the doors to each chamber. We know from their trials that one half went to check on each tip of the spear. Then they vanished. We also know that this was the point where people started leaving the building and congregating on the grounds. We watched it on TV.  Anything else that happened in the Chamber and in congressional offices was theater, including the chants to hang Pence. 

Just like election interference and the perfect phone call distracted from Trump stopping the Javelins by having OMB stop the money - the DoD did not let that happen. Moscow still sent the money to Lev and Igor - who funded Rudy's trip to Ukraine and the Protect the House PAC. Members gave back the money, but those who got it originally did not want their part in the plan to come out. It is why so many people voted not to certify the election. It was not fear of their voters, it was fear of their masters.

We all saw it happen and the Congress showed the events they did not see. We know enough, if you put the events together, to know that Trump was charge and was in on all of the details - including the misdirection. We even know why he tried to hold office - it was Ukraine, not ego. 

We know that Trump supporters knew the outline of events. I have a classmate who posted on Facebook how great the day would be. I commented on Twitter threads on how the plot would never work - because even after the contested state votes were taken out, Biden had more votes of those cast without dispute, so he would have been elected regardless. It is plain language, and if it had been stressed before Jan 6, the riot would not have happened. Trump supporters, even if they knew the true narrative, are voting for him anyway.

Trump has to respond by Tuesday to whether the evidence showed non-official acts. By October 5, they must respond to the exhibits as well. Trump cannot stop the trial if elected - because Rule 48A says that Chutkan has to agree to let it stop. She won't. He won't win anyway.

Texas has more new voters and Nikki voters who are voting for Harris to go Blue. No one is saying this (but me and Texans), because it would show that the election was over. Trump may be in denial - but if he takes a deal before election day, it will because he wants Vance to lose a 50 state route, rather than being the biggest loser - giving Harris a mandate. The desire for that mandate and the need to have people go to the polls to put Democrats in charge of the House and keep the Senate is important.

Deal or no deal. If Trump's lawyers take the next two filings seriously, they will take getting their client to take a deal seriously. If they pander to Trump, there will be no deal until Trump is routed.

What is next for Trump?

Today, with little notice, Jack Smith requested leave to file and outsized brief regarding the question of official v. non-official acts. He also acknowledged that he will not go public with this filing - and instead will create a redacted version for the court to review. The implications of this last bit are staggering.

Trump's lawyers now have to do their job, rather than serving as agents of their client's whims and mental dysfunction. If they do not engage, Smith's version of redactions will go public. If they repeat Trump's position that all acts are official or that all evidence must be redacted, the Judge will simply accept the Special Counsel's version for publication.

Trump needs to actually engage fully with the facts, rather than his personal authenticity, or else let his lawyers work for him without his interference. This will bring home the fact that the evidence against him is irrefutable and, under Rule 48A, he cannot win and make the charges go away without the permission of the Court. She won't give it, so this trial will happen unless Trump makes a deal. Since he does not like any disclosure, he needs to make that deal now. Today's filing puts some pressure on to at least consider some kind of offer or proffer which implicates his co-conspirators 

The missing piece for Trump is some assurance of what confinement looks like. The Secret Service, the Federal Marshalls Service and Walter Reed-Bethesda need to work out what will become of him, especially if, because he is dead to rights, lets his lawyers argue that he is incompetent to assist in his own defense. That puts it mildly. He is hurting more than helping his cause and his advancing dementia, as well as other long term deficits (at least ADHD and likely some kind of compensating disorder). He needs to be in what can be called Trump Tower - South in Bethesda, Maryland.

Pleading incompetence takes him out of the race - and the longer he waits the less likely the party goes with anyone but J.D. Vance - which would be a 50 state + DC loss. As it is, if the Democrats go full force on Cruz as an insurrectionist - the Senate coordinator of the larger plot - then his loss will take Trump down. Trump loses anyway. Any expansion of the Democratic base, along with actual Haley voters going with Harris, means that she will get more votes than Trump. This is likely the case in Florida as well - and possibly Iowa and Ohio. Realistically, Trump is done. It is all over but the tears and tantrums - which if he has any self-respect, should be done out of site at Trump Tower South.

The week ahead for Trump - love him or hate him

4 Sure Things

1. If Trump is elected, Rule 48A prevents DOJ from dropping the case.

2  On Thursday, September 26, all of the evidence against Trump will be released in n a public filing unless he makes a deal.

3. Neither of these things will be overturned on appeal.

4. Donald Trump's biggest fear is public embarrassment, he hates disclosure.

People who hate him and people who worship and/or fear him (same thing?) will not want him out of the race.

People who love him know getting out and getting help are his best result.

Not sure which camp his lawyers (or family?) fall into, assuming they are good enough to know the above.

Interesting week.

The next question is Haley or Vance? Housing and stock prices are inflated. The question is how fast will they fall and what that does to general liquidity. Nikki may take a pass. We need a president who will raise taxes on capital. That likely is not Haley.

Haley and Harris both have serious foreign policy chops. Harris is better in Ukraine. Salva Ukrani!

Today's presidential violence

Note on today's attempt: real assassins never make threats.

People who make threats are usually parlor pinks, who should be found out - for their own protection. Threats are both terrorism and bullying. When you bully people for long enough, they take advantage of the easy availability of firearms.

 

Available guns is one factor in the US murder rate, but a major factor is bullying.  The coarse nature of American society is as responsible, if not more responsible, for our violence. 

Bullies are cowards. That is why anonymous bullies don't say their names. Those who don't are often not a threat, although those who incite when violence occurs should be prosecuted to the full extent of the law when domestic terrorism results. If they are not, they should look over their shoulders.

Haiti is a violent culture - it is why people come here. All it takes, however, is one Haitian immigrant who has had enough to ruin JD Vance's day. He should know better. What he says now could lead him to look over his shoulder for the rest of his life.

Partial Birth Abortion is already illegal, letting extreme preemies die ...

Partial birth abortion is not legal and the Dems did not end the ban when they were last in power. Both in 2009-10 and 2021-22. Know why? It never happens!  

In 2008, Obama said he wanted to sit down with Republicans to talk about all late term abortions - including extending the ban to other procedures - and the Catholic bishops crapped in his face by starting a campaign against the Freedom of Choice Act - which was not being actively pushed - so that they could build up their voter list for 2010. Shame on them.

There is no moral obligation to hydrate someone who is dying (doing so actually causes pain because the kidneys cannot remove the fluids) or to intubate them - whether the person is born early or is very old.

Trump is losing anyway - we just don't like it when Republicans lie. On Sept 10, Trump's lawyers will get all of the details they have - and they will release them all on Sep 26 @ 5 pm, EDT. Also, Kamala will wipe the floor with him on Sep 10th. The only vote he will get is the pity vote.

Expect JD Vance to be the nominee after Sept 26. No woman will vote for him. The first female president will have the same electoral vote win as Washington - getting all of the Electoral College. No one will say this, but everyone knows it.